Course Guide: We are seeing the Old Greenwood Golf Course for the first time on the PGA Tour, but to my eye the course looks pretty similar to Montreux. At 7,518 yards from the tips, this course is a long Par 72 located at high altitude in the Sierra Nevada mountains where the ball travels further than normal. But for the arrival of the PGA Tour the course will play as a 7,390 yard, Par 71. Think eagles and birdies! At 5,883 feet above sea level, expect the course to play incredibly short this week. Since 2012 this event has been played utilising the Modified Stableford scoring format – you can find out more about how points are accrued here; Modified Stableford System.
Old Greenwood Golf Course, Tahoe Mountain Golf Club, Truckee, California: Designer: Jack Nicklaus 2004; Course Type: High Desert, Resort; Par: 71; Length: 7,390 yards; Water Hazards: 6 Holes; Fairways: Bentgrass with Poa Annua; Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass 1.75″ followed by deep brush; Greens: 5,300 sq.ft average featuring Bentgrass with Poa Annua.
Widths Fairway Widths (yards): Below are the fairway widths for Old Greenwood Golf Course and how they compare to recent courses on Tour:
- Old Greenwood: 35-40 yards.
- TPC Twin Cities: 250 yards from the tee: 38 yards wide; 275:38; 300:31; 325:30; 350:36.
- Muirfield Village: 250 yards from the tee: 34 yards wide; 275:33; 300:29; 325:24; 350:29.
- Detroit Golf Club: 250 yards from tee: 34 yards wide; 275:34; 300:35 325:34; 350:33.
- TPC River Highlands: 250 yards from the tee: 38 yards wide; 275:36; 300:29; 325:29; 350:28.
- Harbour Town: 250 yards from tee: 29 yards wide; 275:26; 300:22; 325:26; 350:22.
- Colonial: 250 yards from tee: 27 yards wide; 275:26; 300:27; 325:26; 350:23.
- TPC Sawgrass: 250 yards from the tee: 31 yards wide; 275:32; 300:30; 325:28 350:20.
- Bay Hill: 250 yards from the tee: 32 yards wide; 275:33; 300:33; 325:39 350:29.
- PGA National: 250 yards from the tee: 29 yards wide; 275:27; 300:25; 325:27 350:25.
- Riviera: 250 yards from the tee: 33 yards wide; 275:27; 300:26; 325:26 350:28.
- Pebble Beach: 250 yards from the tee: 33 yards wide; 275:33; 300:29; 325:30 350:26.
Course Designer Links: For research purposes other Jack Nicklaus designs include:
- Annandale Golf Club – Sanderson Farms Championship through 2013
- Glen Abbey – RBC Canadian Open – 2008, 2013, 2015-2018
- Montreux Golf & Country Club – Barracuda Championship through 2019
- Muirfield Village – Memorial Tournament
- PGA National – Honda Classic
- PGA West – Nicklaus Private – Humana Challenge through 2015
- PGA West – Tournament Course – CareerBuilder Challenge 2016 – 2019
- Sherwood Country Club – Thousand Oaks – World Challenge through 2013
- Valhalla Golf Club – 2014 PGA Championship
Course Overview: This is the first time we have seen Old Greenwood Golf Course and my initial reaction was that actually this golf course looks extremely similar to the old host course Montreux G&CC. At 7,390 yards, the course is shorter, but only has 3 par-5s across a Par 71 format. Green sizes are similar and the make-up of the greens remains exactly the same, with Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix greens. That’s important in my opinion.
A typical Jack Nicklaus design that becomes more challenging the closer you get to the hole, at 5,883 feet above sea level the air is dry and thin. Two of the par-5s namely No 6 and No 12, look reachable to the whole field, and there are a couple of driveable par-4s for the bigger hitters namely No 8 (357 yards) and No 11 (345 yards). There also looks like a significant change in terms of rough here at Old Greenwood. Effectively there isn’t any, with the main defence for errant tee shots being a 1.75 inch fairway rough collar and then deep brush. This set-up, in tandem with trees in very close proximity to fairway edges, suggests visually that ‘bomb and gouge’ could be a non-starter.
Winners: 2019: Collin Morikawa (47); 2018: Andrew Putnam (47); 2017: Chris Stroud (44); 2016: Greg Chalmers (43); 2015: J.J. Henry (47); 2014: Geoff Ogilvy (49); 2013: Gary Woodland (44); 2012: J.J. Henry (43); 2011: Scott Piercy (-15); 2010: Matt Bettencourt (-11).
Tournament Stats: We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s event that are well worth a look. Naturally they’ll help to shape a view on players who could go well this week: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader | Combined Stats.
Published Predictor Model: Our published predictor is available here. You can build your own model using the variables listed on the left hand side. Top 10 of my published predictor are Brendan Steele, Emiliano Grillo, Chesson Hadley, Pat Perez, Russell Henley, Richy Werenski, Kyle Stanley, Ryan Moore, Troy Merritt and Chris Stroud.
Recent Player Skill Rankings: These rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the Players Championship (Round 1), which includes PGA Tour and European Tour (where recorded) events. Players must have played in a minimum of 2 Tour events to be included and rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:
- Driving Accuracy: 1) Ricky Barnes; 2) Chris Baker; 3) Arjun Atwal / Ryan Moore; 5) Brian Stuard; 6) Kramer Hickok / Bo Van Pelt; 8) Russell Henley; 9) Austin Cook; 10) Ryan Blaum / Alex Cejka; 12) Ryan Armour / Kyle Stanley; 14) Adam Schenk; 15) Matthias Schwab / Tim Wilkinson; 17) Chesson Hadley / David Hearn; 19) Michael Gligic; 20) Vaughn Taylor.
- Greens in Regulation: 1) Matthias Schwab; 2) Michael Gligic; 3) Kyle Stanley; 4) Ryan Blaum; 5) Chase Seiffert; 6) Ryan Moore; 7) Doug Ghim / Russell Henley / Hank Lebioda / Seamus Power; 11) Chris Baker; 12) Emiliano Grillo / Pat Perez; 14) Josh Teater; 15) Jhonattan Vegas; 16) Brendan Steele; 17) Joseph Bramlett; 18) Aaron Wise / Kristoffer Ventura; 20) Bill Haas.
- Scrambling: 1) Jonathan Byrd; 2) Ben Taylor; 3) Kristoffer Ventura; 4) John Senden; 5) Michael Gellerman; 6) Arjun Atwal; 7) Michael Gligic; 8) Roger Sloan; 9) George McNeill; 10) Richy Werenski; 11) Si Woo Kim; 12) Branden Grace / Cameron Tringale; 14) Russell Henley / Patrick Rodgers; 16) Sam Burns / Austin Cook / Bill Haas / Tim Wilkinson; 20) Chesson Hadley / Denny McCarthy.
- Putting Average (Putts per GIR): 1) Peter Uihlein; 2) J.J. Spaun; 3) Ben Martin / Richy Werenski; 5) Aaron Baddeley / Chris Stroud; 7) Austin Cook / Brandon Hagy / Pat Perez / Patrick Rodgers; 11) Arjun Atwal; 12) Michael Gellerman / Si Woo Kim; 14) Charley Hoffman / Ryan Moore / Adam Schenk; 17) Alex Noren; 18) Brian Stuard / Jhonattan Vegas; 20) Chris Baker / Maverick McNealy.
Recent Player Strokes Gained Rankings: These top 25 in the field rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to the Players Championship (Round 1), which includes both PGA and European Tour events where recorded. Players must have played in a minimum of 2 Tour events to be included and rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:
- Top 20 SG Off The Tee: 1) Matthias Schwab / Kristoffer Ventura; 3) Adam Schenk; 4) Jhonattan Vegas; 5) Ryan Brehm; 6) Ryan Moore; 7) Sam Burns / Joseph Bramlett; 9) Will Gordon; 10) Patrick Rodgers; 11) Kyle Stanley; 12) Russell Henley; 13) Brandon Hagy; 14) Emiliano Grillo / Chesson Hadley / Kramer Hickok / Peter Guest; 18) Cameron Davis; 19) Austin Cook; 20) Hunter Mahan / Sebastian Munoz; 22) Seamus Power; 23) Ricky Barnes; 24) Zack Sucher; 25) Chris Baker.
- Top 20 SG Approach: 1) Chris Baker; 2) Michael Gligic; 3) Ryan Blaum; 4) Russell Henley / Hank Lebioda; 6) Chase Seiffert; 7) Matthias Schwab; 8) Scott Stallings / Brian Stuard; 10) Sebastian Munoz; 11) Richy Werenski; 12) Josh Teater; 13) Bud Cauley / Branden Grace / Emiliano Grillo / Ryan Moore / Brendan Steele; 18) Pat Perez; 19) Johnson Wagner; 20) Si Woo Kim; 21) Matthew NeSmith; 22) Chesson Hadley; 23) Aaron Wise / Nick Watney; 25) Kyle Stanley.
- Top 20 SG Around The Green: 1) Arjun Atwal; 2) Brandon Hagy; 3) Michael Kim; 4) Si Woo Kim; 5) Greg Chalmers / Will Gordon; 7) Peter Kuest / George McNeill / D.J. Trahan; 10) Hank Lebioda; 11) Russell Knox / Zack Sucher; 13) Michael Gellerman / Brian Stuard; 15) Rhein Gibson; 16) Jonathan Byrd / David Hearn / Chase Seiffert; 19) Kristoffer Ventura; 20) Rob Oppenheim / Kyle Stanley / Brendan Steele; 23) Doug Ghim / Maverick McNealy / Chris Stroud / Tim Wilkinson.
- Top 20 SG Tee to Green: 1) Michael Gligic; 2) Hank Lebioda; 3) Chris Baker; 4) Matthias Schwab; 5) Chase Seiffert; 6) Sam Burns / Will Gordon / Kyle Stanley; 9) Richy Werenski; 10) Russell Henley; 11) Josh Teater; 12) Arjun Atwal / Ryan Brehm / Emiliano Grillo / Jhonattan Vegas; 16) Si Woo Kim; 17) Brendan Steele / Brian Stuard; 19) Ryan Moore / Sebastian Munoz / Kristoffer Ventura; 22) Chesson Hadley / Pat Perez; 24) Tim Wilkinson; 25) Cameron Davis / Doug Ghim.
- Top 20 SG Putting: 1) Michael Gellerman; 2) Brandon Hagy; 3) Denny McCarthy; 4) Dominic Bozzelli; 5) Ben Taylor / Kristoffer Ventura; 7) Jonathan Byrd; 8) Ben Martin; 9) Peter Uihlein; 10) Ricky Barnes / Chris Stroud; 12) Bo Hoag; 13) Patrick Rodgers; 14) Greg Chalmers / Alex Noren; 16) Pat Perez / John Senden; 18) Richy Werenski; 19) Charley Hoffman; 20) Rhein Gibson; 21) Maverick McNealy / Troy Merritt; 23) Arjun Atwal; 22) Johnson Wagner; 23) Aaron Baddeley / Wyndham Clark / Roger Sloan.
- Top 20 SG Total: 1) Pat Perez; 2) Kristoffer Ventura / Richy Werenski; 4) Chris Baker / Brandon Hagy; 6) Michael Gellerman; 7) Arjun Atwal; 8) Sam Burns /Jonathan Byrd; 10) Ryan Moore / Kyle Stanley / Jhonattan Vegas; 13) Patrick Rodgers; 14) Brian Stuard; 15) Cameron Davis; 16) Branden Grace / Russell Henley / Si Woo Kim / Brendan Steele; 20) Ricky Barnes / Chase Seiffert; 22) Adam Schenk; 23) Will Gordon; 24) Chesson Hadley / Charley Hoffman.
Winners & Prices: 2019: Collin Morikawa 12/1; 2018: Andrew Putnam 28/1; 2017: Stroud 80/1; 2016: Chalmers 300/1; 2015: Henry 80/1; 2014: Ogilvy 66/1; 2013: Woodland 40/1; 2012: Henry 40/1; 2011: Piercy 50/1; 2010: Bettencourt 200/1. Past 6 Renewals Average: 94/1; Overall Average: 90/1.
Weather Forecast: The latest weather forecast for Truckee, California, is here. Nothing too major to report, I nessence we’re dealing with high altitude, desert conditions this week. Rain in these parts is pretty rare, so the condition of the course will be dictated by the Course Superintendent and the PGA Tour. So expect fairways with some roll and responsive, soft greens to help with scoring. Temperatures will top out at 20 degrees Celsius, with low humidity, so will be very pleasant. A 10-15 mph south-westerly breeze will be a feature every afternoon.
Path to Victory: Below are the end of round positions for the last 10 winners of the Barracuda Championship::
- 2019 – Collin Morikawa: Round 1: 2nd, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 2nd.
- 2018 – Andrew Putnam: Round 1: 30th, Round 2: 3rd, Round 3: 1st.
- 2017 – Chris Stroud: Round 1: 15th, Round 2: 38th, Round 3: 22nd.
- 2016 – Greg Chalmers: Round 1: 5th, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
- 2015 – J.J. Henry: Round 1: 3rd, Round 2: 3rd, Round 3: 1st.
- 2014 – Geoff Ogilvy: Round 1: 2nd, Round 2: 2nd, Round 3: 1st.
- 2013 – Gary Woodland: Round 1: 1st, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 1st.
- 2012 – J.J. Henry: Round 1: 4th, Round 2: 3rd, Round 3: 1st.
- 2011 – Scott Piercy: Round 1: 47th, Round 2: 45th, Round 3: 1st.
- 2010 – Matt Bettencourt: Round 1: 1st, Round 2: 1st, Round 3: 7th.
Incoming form of winners since 2010:
- Collin Morikawa: 4th Deere Run/2nd TPC Twin Cities/36th River Highlands/35th US Open.
- Andrew Putnam: 8th Canada/MC Deere Run/MC Greenbrier/27th TPC Potomac.
- Chris Stroud: MC Canada/35th Barbasol/19th Deere Run/20th Greenbrier.
- Greg Chalmers: MC Air Capital Classic/MC Nashville Open/27th Rust-Oleum/MC Puntacana.
- J.J. Henry: 63rd RTJ/41st Canada/23rd Barbasol/MC Deere Run.
- Geoff Ogilvy: 34th Canada/55th Congressional/MC US Open/MC St Jude.
- Gary Woodland: 61st Canada/48th JDC/62nd Old White TPC/18th Congressional.
- J.J. Henry: 37th Canada/21st Annandale/13th Deere Run/MC Old White TPC.
- Scott Piercy: MC Old White TPC/6th Canada/18th Annandale/45th Deere Run.
- Matt Bettencourt: 49th Deere Run/MC Aronimink/MC TPC River Highlands/70th US Open.
First Round Leader Analysis: First round leader(s), their wave and winning score since 2010. Full First Round Leader stats are here.
- 2019 – Lingmerth – AM, 17 Points – 125/1.
For the record, here’s the breakdown of pure Poa Annua and Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix PGA Tour victors in the field since 2008:
- 2 – Hunter Mahan, Brendan Steele, Nick Watney.
- 1 – Aaron Baddeley, Sang-moon Bae, Greg Chalmers, Emiliano Grillo, Russell Knox, John Merrick, Ted Potter Jnr, Andrew Putnam, Scott Stallings, Chris Stroud, Kevin Tway, Vaughn Taylor, Bo Van Pelt.
This week is all about attacking golf. With eagles worth 5 points and bogeys -1 point, players who can create numerous scoring chances and convert plenty of them will gravitate to the head of the leaderboard. Such a format also rewards those who can take advantage of the altitude which, at 5,800 feet, is the highest tournament location on the PGA Tour.
In the last 2 champions of the Barracuda Championship, Collin Morikawa and Andrew Putnam, we’ve seen a huge swing in quality and price of winner. Morikawa hardly needs introduction and he won this as the 12/1 favourite 12 months ago. 4th at the John Deere Classic and 2nd at the 3M Open was face-palm obvious form, but naturally many a punter was put off by the lack of value in his price. Andrew Putnam was similar in 2018 as he arrived at the Barracuda direct off an 8th place finish in the RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey – a Jack Nicklaus design. He’d already had a great season finishing 5th at Corales, 8th at the Valero Texas Open and 2nd behind Dustin Johnson at the FedEx St Jude Classic. At 138th in the OWGR he had already jumped over 200 spots in 2018.
Both of these wins also destroyed a long Barracuda trend. Before Putnam, no winner had been ranked inside the top 100 in the FedEx Cup when arriving here – indeed Scott Piercy (142nd), Geoff Ogilvy (151st), J.J. Henry (151st), Greg Chalmers (229th) and Chris Stroud (144th), were well outside the top 125 when triumphing.