Steve Bamford

Steve Bamford's Open Championship Longshots & Barracuda Tips 2024

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To read Paul Williams’ in-depth preview and 4 outright market selections for the Open Championship click here.

With the leading bookmakers all keen to get your business, the 152nd Open Championship at Royal Troon makes for an exciting punting proposition this week. With a record-breaking amount of additional each-way places on offer, finding a value outsider is a tactic that’s potentially packed full of profit this week.

Some players simply can’t handle links-style golf where the ability to grind in bad weather, or score in calm conditions, is paramount. In reality this is probably the most likely of all Majors to produce a long-priced, even 3-figure winner, as per Louis Oosthuizen in 2010, Darren Clarke here in 2011, Zach Johnson in 2015 and how about Brian Harman last year.

The last few years have produced the following outsiders, each of whom finished in the top 7:

  • 2023: Brian Harman (110/1 1st); Jason Day (100/1 2nd); Sepp Straka (200/1 2nd); Emiliano Grillo (350/1 6th); Shubhankar Sharma (1500/1).
  • 2022: Cameron Young (110/1 2nd); Brian Harman (175/1 6th).
  • 2021: Dylan Frittelli (275/1 5th); Mackenzie Hughes (350/1 6th).
  • 2019:  Tony Finau (80/1 3rd); Lee Westwood (110/1 4th); Tyrrell Hatton (90/1 6th); Robert MacIntyre (200/1 6th); Danny Willett (125/1 6th).
  • 2018: Xander Schauffele (110/1 2nd); Kevin Kisner (300/1 2nd); Kevin Chappell (250/1, 6th); Eddie Pepperell (175/1 6th).
  • 2017: Hao-tong Li (300/1 3rd).
  • 2016: J.B. Holmes (200/1 3rd), Steve Stricker (250/1 4th), Tyrrell Hatton (175/1 5th)
  • 2015: Zach Johnson (110/1 Winner); Marc Leishman (250/1 2nd); Danny Willet (125/1 6th); Jordan Niebrugge (1000/1 6th).
  • 2014: Marc Leishman (150/1 5th); Edoardo Molinari (200/1 7th).
  • 2013: Hideki Matsuyama (250/1 6th).
  • 2012: Brandt Snedeker (175/1 3rd).
  • 2011: Darren Clarke (200/1 – Winner); Thomas Bjorn (200/1); Chad Campbell (250/1); Anthony Kim (175/1) – all finished 5th.
  • 2010: Louis Oosthuizen (250/1 – Winner); Henrik Stenson (100/1 3rd); Nick Watney (125/1) & Robert Rock (300/1) – both finished 7th.
  • 2009: Stewart Cink (175/1 – Winner); Tom Watson (750/1 2nd); Chris Wood (500/1 3rd).

betfred 10 Places Each-Way at the 2024 Open

Betfred are offering 10 places each-way at 1/5 odds this week at The Open, plus they are offering a strong balance with strong player odds too. New customers, 18+ signing-up via Golf betting System receive a Bet £10 Get £50 of free bets sportsbook account opening offer using promo code SUMMER50 – see below:

 

✅ New UK customers: Bet £10 Get £50 in free bets for new customers using code BETFRED50 and this qualifying link
✅ For further details read our Betfred promo code> page
✅ Odds compiler takes a different view of many events meaning value can be found
✅ Flexible each-way terms available with 5, 7, 8 and 10 place options to choose from

Betfred New Customer Offer: New customers only. Register with BETFRED50. Deposit £10+ via debit card and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad

bet365 have also upped their game for the 2024 Open and, as they have done for every Major Championship this year, they are offering standard 8 places each-way at 1/5 odds, plus market leading odds; alternatively there’s the option to take 10 or 12 places each-way with their Each Way Extra proposition:

bet365 Get up to 12 places each way at The Open with bet365’s ‘Each Way Extra’ promotion on golf.

bet365 have recently launched their innovative ‘Each Way Extra’ promotion on golf, following on from its success on horse racing over the past few years.

  • bet365 Golf Each Way Extra – Up to 12 places for Each Way Golf bets on selected tournaments. Each Way Extra gives you the option to increase or decrease the number of places when you are betting pre-event on the To Win Outright market on selected Golf events – add places on to your Each Way Golf bets for extra security at lower odds, or increase the price by removing places. Bet restrictions apply. Registration required. For further details of how Each Way Extra works on golf click here.

The number of Each Way Extra places offered on an event can be viewed on the Each Way Extra coupon or on the bet slip as per the example below:

bet365 each way extra

Odds above used for illustrative purposes and were correct at 11:40BST 15.7.24, but are naturally subject to fluctuation.

To access the different options and odds, simply select the ‘Each Way Extra’ market from the selected golf coupon to see the additional place terms that are available on your chosen event before the first group tees off. Once you’ve selected a price and the corresponding number of places from the Each Way Extra coupon, it will then appear on your bet slip.

If you don’t have a bet365 sports account then customers who sign up with bet365 via Golf Betting System receive their up to £30 in free bets account opening offer using bonus code SPORT30:

✅ Bet £10 get £30 in free bets for new customers
✅ Bonus code SPORT30 can be used, but does not change the offer amount in any way
✅ For further details read our bet365 new customer offer page
✅ Early odds available each week on the PGA Tour and DP World Tour
✅ ‘Each Way Extra’ promotion where you can choose between 3, 8, 10 or 12 places each way

bet365 New Customer Offer: New Customers only. Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply. Registration required. The bonus code SPORT30 can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. #Ad

Akshay Bhatia 1pt EW 100/1 (10EW, 1/5) with Betfred

2024 has been a breakout year for Akshay Bhatia. Up over 75 spots in the World Golf Rankings to the around the top 25 mark, Akshay won his 2nd PGA Tour victory at the Valero Texas Open in April, has had his first top 16 finish in a Major Championship at the U.S. Open, and arrives in Ayrshire in the form of his life. 5th at the Signature event level Travelers Championship saw Akshay in Sunday’s Final Group with Scottie Scheffler and Tom Kim. Then T2 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit saw Bhatia in the heart of the battle throughout, before a shocking 3-putt on the 18th green cost the Californian a place in a play-off with Cameron Davis.

An Open Championship debutant, how he settles on the links of The Old Course remains to be seen, but I’m hopeful. An excellent player in windy conditions, Akshay is only 22 years of age but has already shown a liking for coastal golf. His 2021 Korn Ferry Tour title came on a coastal assignment in the Bahamas and once on the main PGA Tour he’s finished 2nd in Puerto Rico plus has top 15 finishes across Kapalua (2nd after 54 holes), Waialae Country Club and Torrey Pines. RESULT: MC

✅ New UK customers: Bet £10 Get £50 in free bets for new customers using code BETFRED50 and this qualifying link
✅ For further details read our Betfred promo code> page
✅ Odds compiler takes a different view of many events meaning value can be found
✅ Flexible each-way terms available with 5, 7, 8 and 10 place options to choose from

Betfred New Customer Offer: New customers only. Register with BETFRED50. Deposit £10+ via debit card and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad

Jason Day 1pt EW 110/1 (10EW, 1/5) with Betfred

An uncertain weather forecast with rain and potentially an unusual south-westerly wind at varying strengths could well be a leveller. So a player with the combination of Major experience allied to a premier-level short game could be an angle for success. Jason Day hasn’t had a stellar 2024 and now finds himself a little under pressure from the likes of Min Woo Lee, Adam Scott and Corey Conners for an automatic spot in the International President’s Cup team. Yes he’ll get a pick from Captain Mike Weir, but Jason will undoubtedly want to take care of business himself.

Day of course is a Major Champion and over recent years at The Open he’s finished 4th at St Andrews (2015), 17th at Carnoustie (2018) and 2nd at Hoylake (2023). I can see similarities year-on-year from Hoylake to the Old Course here at Royal Troon and Day is arriving in Scotland after 23rd at the John Deere Classic where he was T8 for weekend scoring. Confidence boosting no doubt.

23rd for Scrambling, 39th for Strokes Gained Around the Green, 16th for Sand Save Percentage & 5th for Strokes Gained Putting so far on the PGA Tour in 2024, the ability to plot and scramble your way around Royal Troon this week, could, hopefully see Jason Day appear on the first page of the leaderboard. RESULT: T13

✅ New UK customers: Bet £10 Get £50 in free bets for new customers using code BETFRED50 and this qualifying link
✅ For further details read our Betfred promo code> page
✅ Odds compiler takes a different view of many events meaning value can be found
✅ Flexible each-way terms available with 5, 7, 8 and 10 place options to choose from

Betfred New Customer Offer: New customers only. Register with BETFRED50. Deposit £10+ via debit card and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. #Ad

Victor Perez 1pt EW 160/1 (12EW, 1/5) with bet365

Frenchman Victor Perez is playing some nice golf and has had some success in Scotland in his career to date. Up to 66th in the PGA Tour FedEx Cup, his card has effectively been secured for 2025 so now the 31 year-old, who lives in the Bahamas when playing his State-side golf, can relax and look to qualify for the Play-Offs in August. A top 10 at The Open would be very nice, thank you.

Form of 3rd (Canadian Open), 12th (The Memorial), 44th (Travelers) and 10th last week (Scottish Open) surround a Missed Cut at the U.S. Open. Strong stuff and Perez has got a Major top 12 finish to his name after landing a T12 at the Oak Hill PGA Championship.

Victor has fond memories of Scotland as well winning the 2019 Alfred Dunhill Championship which is played across St Andrews, Carnoustie and Kingbarns. I’m taking the full 12 places each-way available via bet365’s Each Way Extra. RESULT: MC

✅ Bet £10 get £30 in free bets for new customers
✅ Bonus code SPORT30 can be used, but does not change the offer amount in any way
✅ For further details read our bet365 new customer offer page
✅ Early odds available each week on the PGA Tour and DP World Tour
✅ ‘Each Way Extra’ promotion where you can choose between 3, 8, 10 or 12 places each way

bet365 New Customer Offer: New Customers only. Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply. Registration required. The bonus code SPORT30 can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. #Ad

Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 15:50BST 15.7.24 but are naturally subject to fluctuation.

Barracuda Championship Tips

Whilst the Open Championship takes place at Royal Troon, another ‘opposite’ alternate tournament on the PGA Tour takes place.

The Barracuda Championship is played at the Old Greenwood Golf Course in California. Played at altitude in the Sierra Nevada mountains, this event since 2012 this event has been played utilising the Modified Stableford scoring format.

Won by Richy Werenski (33/1), Erik van Rooyen (66/1), Chez Reavie (40/1) and Akshay Bhatia (40/1), the full 2-year PGA Tour exemption available to the winner is a huge carrot, as is the possibility of harvesting enough FedEx Cup points to help grab a spot in the magical top 70 for the FedEx Cup Playoffs.

My 3 selections are as follows:

Nick Dunlap 1.5pts EW 40/1 (7EW, 1/5) with Ladbrokes

Nick Dunlap in January became the first amateur to win a PGA Tour event since Phil Mickelson won the Tucson Open in 1991. Some accolade! With that Dunlap turned pro with a 2 year Tour exemption in his pocket, but no $1.51 prize money from his American Express win or FedEx Cup points.

Being able to play all of the Signature events has seen Nick play in the biggest tournaments, and we’ve been able to watch a precocious talent develop. Of late there has definitely been an up-shift in results – 12th at The Memorial saw the 20 year-old 7th heading into Sunday. The Barracuda is undoubtedly a couple of steps down from that performance. Since then 10th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic just 3 weeks ago was his first top 10 since his January win – on a course, like here at Old Greenwood which features Bent/Poa Annua mix greens.

At 95th in the FedEx Cup and with the top 70 Playoff cut-off around the corner, you can see why he’s playing this week at the Barracuda and I think the Stableford scoring format will suit. 19th for Birdie Average (6th in this field) and 16th for Eagles per Hole (8th in this field) highlight a player whose natural instincts are attacking play. Plus Dunlap won his American Express title in California (at -29/259) and has also had further amateur success on the West Coast having won the 2023 U.S. Amateur at Cherry Hills Country Club at altitude in Denver, Colorado. RESULT: Winner

✅ Bet £/€5, Get £/€20 in Free Bets
✅ For further details read our Ladbrokes promo code page.
✅ Have just started to offer 10 places each-way, 1/5 odds consistently on full-field PGA Tour events
✅ Offered 10 places each-way 1/5 odds at all 4 Majors in 2023

Significant terms: 18+ New UK+IRE customers. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Min £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4 x £/€5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days on sports, stake not returned, no cashout. Restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. #Ad

Neal Shipley 1.5pts EW 40/1 (7EW, 1/5) with Ladbrokes

Neal Shipley just so happens to be the player that Dunlap beat 4&3 in last year’s U.S. Amateur Final, and like Dunlap this 23 year-old also has plenty of game.

Since turning pro the week after finishing 26th at the U.S. Open, Shipley has finished 9th (Victoria Open – PGA Tour Americas), 20th (Rocket Mortgage Classic) and 6th (ISCO Championship) in 4 outings. Impressive stuff, but as a non-member Shipley has to continue churning out results to grab a full card for 2025.

PGA Tour stats are pretty meaningless at this stage of his embryonic career, but rest assured he can make plenty of birdies as 65-66 during the middle rounds of the ISCO Championship last week highlight. He also ranks 8th in this field across my 8-week trackers for Strokes Gained Tee to Green. RESULT: T40

✅ Bet £/€5, Get £/€20 in Free Bets
✅ For further details read our Ladbrokes promo code page.
✅ Have just started to offer 10 places each-way, 1/5 odds consistently on full-field PGA Tour events
✅ Offered 10 places each-way 1/5 odds at all 4 Majors in 2023

Significant terms: 18+ New UK+IRE customers. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Min £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4 x £/€5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days on sports, stake not returned, no cashout. Restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. #Ad

Pierceson Coody WD Pre-Event

Pierceson Coody is maturing nicely and at this price is a spot of value, considering he finished T1 with five other players last week at the ISCO Championship over 72 holes. It wasn’t to be ultimately for Pierceson who lost to Harry Hall’s chip in on the 3rd extra hole of the play off, but what we did learn about the 24 year-old Texan was all good. The 18, 36 and 54 hole leader, Coody showed plenty of mental strength birdieing 18 (4th hardest hole across the tournament) to actually get into extra time. He never lost the tournament – Harry Hall simply won it.

If the past is a precursor to the future, we’ve also seen across his Korn Ferry Tour career that Coody is a multiple winner, whose game both hangs around and travels. 3 wins have come in Maine, Panama and Montana, with his first win coming in 2022 at Falmouth Country Club which features Bentgrass Poa Annua greens. That maiden Korn Ferry win arrived after 4th place the week before in Kansas.

2023 then saw him win on Bentgrass greens at Highland Springs Country Club, Montana (played at altitude), which he backed-up with 6th the appearance after at Oakridge Country Club, Utah (played at altitude) which features Poa Annua putting surfaces.

A superb driver of the ball whose putter is the hottest in this week’s Barracuda field by some margin, at 21st for Birdie Average (7th in this field) this season, it’s worth remembering that he shot an opening -11/61 at Keene Trace last week. Plus across my 8-week Strokes Gained metrics he ranks Number 1 for Current Form. RESULT: WD Pre-Event

Barracuda Championship odds and bookmaker offers correct at 08:30BST 16.7.24 but are naturally subject to fluctuation.