Paul Williams

Paul Williams' Porsche Singapore Classic Tips 2025

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We’re back in the saddle on the DP World Tour this week, having had a week to recuperate following Shaun Norris’s surrender of a 4-shot lead at the Joburg Open last time out where Calum Hill ran out the eventual winner in a play-off.

Having dusted ourselves down, we head east and towards the equator this week as we return to Singapore for the third consecutive year, with the 2023 tournament being the first event in the country at this level since 2014.

Robert MacIntyre heads this week’s betting following his 9th place finish last week in elite company at TPC Sawgrass, with LIV golfers Paul Casey and Tom McKibbin following at around 16/1 and 18/1 respectively in this field of 132.

Before we go into more detail and my final Singapore Classic tips, we always have new visitors to Golf Betting System as we head towards The Masters. Welcome to you all and let me point you in the direction of our weekly Golf Betting System podcast (published every Tuesday of the golfing calendar), the Steve Bamford Golf Channel on YouTube, and our hugely popular, 6,400-strong private Group on Facebook – you can Join Here.

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Course Overview. There are two courses at the Laguna National resort in Singapore, the Masters Course – which hosted the Singapore Open on the European Tour as was until 2007, and then the Championship at Laguna National in 2014 – and the Classic Course which is our venue for this week’s event, as it was for the past two renewals.

From an event history perspective, the Classic Course has seen less professional action since it was opened in 1993, with the 2015 World Classic Championship, won by Danthai Boonma, on the Asian Tour the only notable event to have used the track prior to 2023’s inaugural Singapore Classic.

Dubbed ‘The Beast’, the course certainly showed its teeth back in 2015 with only Boonma and runner-up Nicholas Fung finishing the right side of par, and only just the right side at that at 2- and 1-under respectively. Post-monsoon conditions in 2023 tamed the beast though with a course that was flooded at times providing the sort of soft conditions that allow professionals to make a score, with Ockie Strydom eventually winning at 19-under par. Slightly drier conditions 12 months ago eventually allowed Jesper Svensson to reach 17-under and win his maiden title at this level.

A hilly course stretching to 7,420 yards from its tips, some renovations were made following Boonma’s win and it will play as a Par 72 this week as it did last year, with the back 9 considerably long than the front.

The rough tends to be thick and penal here and 5 imposing lakes and water features are ready to gobble up any seriously errant play, however the fairways are generous and in general this is best described as a second shot course. Paspalum grass has been used from tee to the green surrounds, with the putting surfaces themselves Bermuda grass.

singapore classic tips

Tournament Stats. We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s Singapore Classic that will help to shape a view on players who could go well this week.

Event form is taken from the various events held here at Laguna National resort since 2002, with 2015, 2023 and 2024 the only events played specifically on this week’s ‘Classic’ track: Current Form | Event Form | First Round Leader Stats | Combined Current/Event Form.

Predictor Model. Our published Predictor Model is available here. As always you can build your own model using the variables available.

Laguna National Winners:

  • Classic Course: 2024: Jesper Svensson, -17; 2023: Ockie Strydom, -19; 2015: Danthai Boonma (-2, played as a Par 71)
  • Masters Course: 2014: Felipe Aguilar, -22; 2007: Wen-Chong Liang, -11; 2006: Mardan Mamat, -12; 2005: Nick Dougherty, -18; 2004: Colin Montgomery, -16; 2003: Lien-Wei Zhang, -10; 2002: Arjun Atwal, -14.

Weather Forecast. The latest weather forecast for Singapore is here.

If the forecast is correct at the time of writing on Monday then there’s significant doubt about this event starting on time and indeed there being a full 4 rounds played in total. Heavy rain and thunderstorms on Wednesday look set to continue throughout Thursday and Friday, with a slight improvement over the weekend. Wind is forecast at 15-20mph for the first 2 days before dropping away over the weekend.

Tournament Trends & Key Factors. We have 3 events with recorded stats to study for this week’s Singapore Classic, the two DP World Tour tournaments from the past two years as well as the Asian Tour’s 2015 World Classic:

  • 2024: Jesper Svensson. 315 yards (10th), 60.7% fairways (66th), 70.8% greens in regulation (24th), 66.7% scrambling (14th), 1.61 putts per GIR (7th).
  • 2023: Ockie Strydom. 299 yards (32nd), 78.6% fairways (22nd), 77.8% greens in regulation (10th), 75% scrambling (9th), 1.68 putts per GIR (22nd).
  • 2015: Danthai Boonma. 279 yards (45th), 87.5% fairways (7th), 72.2% greens in regulation (6th), 60% scrambling (1st), 1.77 putts per GIR (49th).

With soft conditions the norm here – and particularly this year if the forecast is remotely accurate – then length off the tee is an asset, as was proven by Jesper Svensson 12 months ago.

Similarities between the three events in terms of high average driving accuracy figures reinforces the assertion that this is a second shot course where either maximising GIR or having a strong week on and around the greens are the routes to success.

Strokes Gained: From a Strokes Gained perspective, stats for the two DP World Tour events were as follows:

  • 2024: Jesper Svensson: T: 9th; A 31st; T2G: 12th; ATG: 9th; P:8th
  • 2023: Ockie Strydom: T: 39th; A: 2nd; T2G: 2nd; ATG: 5th; P: 58th

The most consistent statistic from the two events has been SG Tee to Green, however with a small sample size and some significant variations between those who finished immediately below the winners, it’s probably too early to be definitive.

Key: T: SG Off the Tee; A; SG Approach; T2G: SG Tee to Green; ATG: SG Around the Green; P: SG Putting.

Incoming Form. There were signs of form from both of our DP World Tour winners here in the not so distant past with Jesper Svensson having finished runner-up in Bahrain the previous month and Ockie Strydom having won at Leopard Creek 5 events beforehand. Danthai Boonma’s win here on the Asian Tour 10 years ago would have been a tougher one to find though:

  • 2024: Jesper Svensson: 2/13/11/70/2/MC/31/47/2/16/11/67
  • 2023: Ockie Strydom: 31/16/12/6/MC/MC/15/1/WD/63/MC/MC
  • 2015: Danthai Boonma: MC/MC/30/15/30/27/MC/MC/33/MC/MC/70

Looking at the difference in winning scores and difficulty between the 2023 and 2024 tournaments and the 2015 Asian Tour event, the main difference was timing with the more recent events being played in February and March instead of November. Now the relevance of that is the monsoon season in Singapore, which came after the 2015 event and before the 2023 and 2024 events, meaning that the more recent events were played in much softer conditions.

With significant pre-event rain in the forecast and Thursday in particular at risk of suspensions, I’d expect the course to play softer still and only the threat of some wind on Thursday and Friday – should they play – will likely offer the course any protection.

My final Porsche Singapore Classic tips are as follows:

Haotong Li 2pts EW 35/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Betfred

Robert MacIntyre dominates this week’s betting on his return from a top-10 finish at TPC Sawgrass, however quotes of around 7/1 aren’t exactly packed with value given that he’s got to travel from Florida and I’ll happily leave him unbacked.

Paul Casey and Tom McKibbin both take a break from LIV this week and follow on in the betting, with both having played in the area last week at Sentosa Golf Club, finishing 10th and 25th respectively. Casey finished 6th here last year and McKibbin 12th the year before and I suspect both feature this week, however my preference is to back Haotong Li at around double their price as he continues to work towards his goal of securing one of the 10 PGA Tour cards on offer this season.

4 times a winner now at DP World Tour level, it’s been noticeable in the past how his form has largely dropped away following his wins. Not that he’s the most consistent of players anyway, however perhaps in the past there’s been a ‘job done’ attitude after his successes which has resulted in his foot being taken off the pedal.

With those 4 wins the 29 year-old has now matched Ashun Wu’s total as the most by a mainland Chinese golfer and his victory in Qatar was the second successive time that an Asian golfer has won that title – Japan’s Rikuyu Hoshino won that event last year and went on to secure his PGA Tour card and Li has every chance of following in his footsteps if he can maintain his focus over the next few months.

We have seen in the past that Haotong can maintain his form when there’s a goal in sight – he won 4 times on local Tours in the space of 2 months in 2014 to gain promotion to the then web.com Tour, now Korn Ferry Tour, to become the first Chinese member of the PGA Tour’s second division.

10th into Sunday at the Kenya Open following his Qatar victory where he ranked 4th for SG OTT, 6th for SG Approach and 8th for SG Tee to Green would suggest that he’s maintained his form, and 16th overall on his last start at the South African Open where the putter was back to its normal self, ranking 8th for SG Putting, is encouragement enough for me to back him here.

13th to Sunday here last year before a destructive 75 to close would suggest that Li can play this course just fine, and with wet weather threatening to disrupt this week’s event, I like the fact that he’s a regular fast starter which might just prove critical if any delays result in a curtailed event. RESULT: T9

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Marco Penge 1.5pts EW 55/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Betfred

I backed Marco Penge last time out at the Joburg Open, hoping he’d improve on his debut outing at Houghton Golf Club where he’d missed the cut. Improve he did – 19th overall was the Englishman’s finishing position – and although that wasn’t enough for him to provide us with any return on the week, it was a positive end to his first three weeks back after his 2-month suspension which saw him record three successive top-20 finishes and bag a start at this year’s Open to boot.

3rd at the South African Open was the middle of those three efforts in another soggy week where the weather dominated the conversation, and the 26 year-old is entitled to feel a little aggrieved that the fourth and final round was cancelled, leaving him stranded 1 shot outside the eventual play-off having played himself into contention.

Another soft course awaits and Penge’s combination of power off the tee (2nd on Tour for Driving Distance) and putting prowess (3rd on Tour for SG Putting) could be the perfect combination this week.

The 2-time Challenge Tour winner missed the cut here last year when still finding his feet at this level, and having missed 5 of his 6 cuts to that point in 2024 it was no real surprise that he had an enforced weekend off. With a year’s worth of experience at this level since then, plus significantly better incoming form heading into this, I can see Marco recording a massive personal best here this week and seriously contending for that breakthrough title. RESULT: T49

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Pablo Larrazabal 1pt EW 140/1 (8EW, 1/5) with bet365

The forgiving nature of this course from off the tee also brings players like Pablo Larrazabal into the equation and the amiable Spaniard could surprise a few on debut here this week.

With 9 career DP World Tour titles to his name, the 41 year-old is undoubtedly one of the most decorated players in this week’s field and his play-off defeat in Bahrain at the start of February would suggest that he’s quite capable of bringing his tally up to double figures. That defeat will have been hard to take for the Barcelona man – he had 2 putts from 42 feet on the final hole to take the title, but left himself 6 feet short and the ensuing bogey allowed Laurie Canter to nick the title in extra holes.

Pablo had complained of missing home ahead of Bahrain having become a father last April, so it was no surprise to see him miss the cut the following week in Qatar, however over a month later he should be ready to pick up his form once again on a second shot course that should allow him to pepper the flags with his approach shots. 2nd for SG Approach and 1st for SG Tee to Green at Royal Golf Club would suggest that his long game is as good as it has been for years.

We’ve also seen Larrazabal pull big performances out of the bag in relatively quick succession twice in recent years, first by winning the MyGolfLife Open and ISPS Handa Championship in the space of 6 weeks in 2022, then repeating the feat at the Korea Championship and KLM Open in the space of 4 weeks the year after. With 6 weeks having passed since he came so close in the Middle East, perhaps he’ll quickly put that defeat behind him with victory here this week. RESULT: MC

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Freddy Schott 1pt EW 150/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Betfred

Finally I’ll take a chance on another longer price, this time in the shape of Freddy Schott.

The big hitting German averages over 323 yards from off the tee this season on the DP World Tour, putting him 10th on that count from 23 recorded rounds, and the forecast rain here in Singapore should help players like Freddy keep the ball in play from off the tee whilst offering an advantage with their extra length.

16th here on debut 12 months ago, the 23 year-old led heading into weekend following rounds of 66 and 69, only to be let down by a Saturday 76. To his credit Schott closed with a fine round of 67 which ranked well inside the top 10 rounds on the day and marked my card as a player to consider when the Tour returns this week.

Form since has been up and down if we’re being polite, with plenty of missed cuts interspersed by the occasional impressive performance, however that’s often what you get from a player this far down the betting. 15th and 16th at the Australian PGA and Australian Open respectively last December, Freddy closed his 2024 campaign with 5th at the Mauritius Open, recovering from an opening 74 to record an impressive finish.

7th at the Kenya Open followed 4 straight missed cuts to open his 2025 account and although he’s been an also-ran having made his last two cuts, he did rank 2nd for SG Off the Tee (normal co-sanctioned caveat applies) last time out at the Joburg Open.

9th for SG Putting for the season is the final part of the jigsaw for me and whilst this bet has the potential to result in a missed cut, it also offers the scope for a big each-way place or better should the German have one of his better weeks. RESULT: MC

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Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 16:10GMT 17.3.25 but are naturally subject to fluctuation.