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The nightmare continued for Rory McIlroy Major Championship punters with missed par putts on 16 and 18 handing the US Open title to Bryson DeChambeau who was a Monday best price 20/1 with Unibet. Now a 2-time US Open and Major Champion, the sooner golf heals the divide and we get Bryson into more events the better as far as I’m concerned as he’s Mr Entertainment.
The Travelers Championship has always been a well-supported event on the PGA Tour and has a ‘big tournament’ feel in
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Course Guide: TPC River Highlands is a stock ‘Up-State’ Par 70. At a reduced 6,835 yards (down 17 yards), the course is attackable and gives all styles of play a chance of victory. Chez Reavie averaged 279 yards off the tee here in 2019, whilst Bubba Watson has averaged 317 yards off the tee across his 3 victories here, as did (pretty much) Keegan Bradley last year. Jordan Spieth, Russell Knox, Kevin Streelman, Ken Duke and Freddie Jacobson plotted and putted their ways to victory, as did Dustin Johnson, Harris English and Xander Schauffele over the past 4 years, using hybrids off many tees.
River Highlands has seen significant changes since the 2015 renewal with a PGA Tour-inspired renovation seeing 50 bunkers removed and the remaining bunkers being upgraded, and in many cases moved, to create fairway pinch points. 5 greens on the inward set were also rebuilt to present new hole locations. All in all though, River Highlands is a good, solid, mid-scoring, tree-lined parkland course where making birdies and putting extremely well will be key on Poa Annua/Bentgrass mix greens that aren’t overly taxing. Birdies and minimising mistakes will be the name of the game.
TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut: Designer Robert J. Moss 1928 with Pete Dye (1982), and PGA Tour (2016) renovations; Course Type: Parkland, Up-State, Resort, Short; Par: 70; Length: 6,835 yards; Holes with Water In-Play: 5; Number of Sand Bunkers: 69; Acres of Fairway: 28; Fairways: Bentgrass with Poa Annua; Rough: Kentucky Bluegrass with Fescue +4″; Greens: 5,000 sq.ft average featuring Bentgrass with Poa Annua; Tournament Stimp: 12ft.
Course Scoring Average:
Fairway Widths (yards): Below are the fairway widths for TPCRiverHighlands and how they compare to recent courses that we’ve seen on Tour:
Course Designer Links: For research purposes, other Pete Dye designs include:
Course Overview: TPC River Highlands is a traditional north-eastern state parkland golf course that features little water. The short format calls for a greater degree of accuracy off the tee to fairways which aren’t difficult to hit for players who focus on course management. At an average of 5,000 square feet, the green complexes are a typical short Par 70 affair, but the key to the course is that the Poa Annua/Bentgrass mix surfaces run at a receptive speed. River Highlands is a second-shot course where accurate approach play is key. Accurate drivers and plotters tend to prosper, although bombers can contend with Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson prime examples. But here more than anywhere a red-hot putter will be required to deliver 22-27 birdies required for victory.
No course statistics really jump from off the page – River Highlands really is pretty stock across the piece, apart from the fact that scrambling from the rough is particularly difficult (top 10 hardest pretty much every year) for those missing greens. This tournament though tends to be won on the par-4s, with the victor always towards the top of the scoring charts across the 48 looks at the par-4s.
Below is a breakdown of player par-4 scoring at TPC River Highlands across the last 10 tournaments here. Finishing position in brackets:
Travelers Championship Winners: 2023: Keegan Bradley (-23); 2022: Xander Schauffele (-19); 2021: Harris English (-13); 2020: Dustin Johnson (-19); 2019: Chez Reavie (-17); 2018: Bubba Watson (-17); 2017: Jordan Spieth (-12); 2016: Russell Knox (-14); 2015: Bubba Watson (-16); 2014: Kevin Streelman (-15); 2013: Ken Duke (-12); 2012: Marc Leishman (-14); 2011: Freddie Jacobson (-20); 2010: Bubba Watson (-14).
OWGR of Travelers Championship Winners: 2023: Bradley 28; 2022: Schauffele 15; 2021: English 19; 2020: D Johnson 6; 2019: Reavie 48; 2018: Watson 20.
Lead Score Progression:
Path to Victory: Below are the round positions for the winners of the Travelers Championship since 2010:
Shots From the Lead: Below are the Travelers Championship winners since 2010 and where they were positioned in terms of shots from the lead during the tournament:
Tournament Stats: We’ve published some key player statistics for this week’s event that are well worth a look. Naturally they’ll help to shape a view on players who could go well this week: Current Form | Tournament Form | First Round Leader | Combined Stats.
My published predictor is available here. Top 10 of my published predictor are: Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Russell Henley, Tony Finau, Viktor Hovland, Corey Conners, Sam Burns, Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay.
Our brand new predictor model is running alongside, where you can build your own rankings in live time, using the variables listed on the left hand side.
Travelers Championship Winning Prices: 2023: Bradley 80/1; 2022: Schauffele 20/1; 2021: English 45/1; 2020: D Johnson 30/1; 2019: Reavie 70/1; 2018: Watson 33/1; 2017: Spieth 10/1; 2016: Knox 50/1; 2015: Watson 14/1; 2014: Streelman 150/1; 2013: Duke 150/1; 2012: Leishman 125/1; 2011: Jacobson 45/1; 2010: Watson 40/1. Past 5 Renewals Average: 49/1; Average: 62/1.
Historical Weather:
Weather Forecast: Latest weather forecast for Hartford, Connecticut is here.
From North Carolina we move to the north-east of the United States this week for the Travelers. Weather though looks pretty similar to last week at Pinehurst. Temperatures of 33-37 Celsius – 91-99 Fahrenheit – are actually warmer than last week. Little wind apart from potentially a south-westerly 15-20mph on Sunday is in the forecast. The amount of rain this month in Connecticut has been small, so expect fast fairways conditions and soft, watered greens. With this heat, expect +50% thunderstorm risk on Friday and Saturday, so the course could get a decent dousing and aid scoring further. All in all I’m expecting low scores.
Player Strokes Gained Rankings: These top 25 in the field rankings are based on an 8-tournament window that stretches back to ISPS Handa Championship which includes both PGA Tour and DP World Tour events, where recorded. Player rankings are based on performance relative to the rest of the field:
For a summary of the Strokes Gained Performances from this week’s field here at TPC River Highlands click here.
Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the Strokes Gained Stats of the Travelers Championship winners here at TPC River Highlands Muirfield Village since 2016 gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this north-eastern parkland test:
Strokes Gained Tournament Trends:
Strokes Gained Tournament Skill Averages:
Tournament Trends & Key Factors: Analysing the final stats of the winners of the Travelers Championship back to 2016 gives us a little more insight into the requirements for this parkland test:
Tournament Skill Averages:
Let’s take a view from players as to how TPC River Highlands sets up and what skill sets the course favours:
Keegan Bradley (2023): “My start was amazing. There are some tough shots there actually, especially when you’re off that early. They’re all birdie holes, but they’re all bogey holes as well. I hit just perfect shots on every shot I had on those first five holes.
Yeah, I love the 15th because everybody is going to hit — try to drive the green. It’s not some people laying up. It’s basically 100%, and it’s a risk reward hole and it’s an awesome hole.
Well, I mean, just I’ve been putting really well all year, especially lately, especially on bent grass greens. I was just reading them really good, and it was just — when you’re putting good everything feels easy and it’s automatic. It breaks a little this way, a little that way, and I just had that going today.
Yeah, I was playing great. I didn’t look a little many leaderboards because I knew I sort of had control of the tournament if I just played my best. With Chez, who was kind of right behind me who was a little bit back, I knew that I sort of had control. This course is so fun to play because every hole is a birdie hole, but also on that backside there is water everywhere so you can make a bogey in a second. It was a stressful finish, but once I got that ball on the green on 17, I kind of could take a little bit of a deep breath.”
Xander Schauffele (2022): “It’s one of those courses if you’re living in the rough all day it’s going to be a long day. You can’t really get too aggressive to pins. I was in the rough a few times. Fortunately I had room to run up the ball. I got nine yards of roll on a couple of wedge shots out of the rough. It’s not too hard to shoot level par or nothing too low if you’re not in the fairway off the tee.”
“Yeah, this course protects itself. It did rain last night, but if it didn’t rain, the course is pretty firm. Mid teens to high teens have won this tournament. If you finish in the high teens you’re in a pretty good spot for the week. If it stays soft, it may be lower than that for the week. I think it’s just a forgiveness thing. After playing the U.S. Open you kind of beat yourself up all week and then you kind of hit a bad shot on a day like today and your ball may stay on the green and not roll off into some ankle-high rough. I think mentally it’s a little bit more forgiving.”
“I think I focused a little bit more. I was expecting him (Sahith Theegala) to par or birdie. He hits it a really long way. So if he hit it down the fairway he would have had a lob wedge in as well. I knew the 18th hole is, even though it’s downwind, that left bunker is dangerous, as we saw. The right rough is probably the thickest on the property. So if for whatever reason you don’t hit a great tee shot there you’re trying to play for par. With the greens being firm and crusty you just never know what can happen. So I really just tried to worry about myself and the task at hand and I think Austin and I did a really good job of that.”
Harris English (2021): “I’ve played here a lot over the years, so I feel like I know where the pins are going to be. Kind of played this course in my mind. Coming out here I know where to hit all the shots. It’s just about focusing and pulling it off.”
“I love the U.S. Open setup. I love when it’s difficult like that. I can use a lot of that on days like today where it’s tough, it’s windy, you’ve got to grind out there. I feel like I’m a really good grinder on the golf course. I never really get out of it. Had some really great up-and-downs today, made some great seven- or eight-foot par saves. It just shows the validation, all the work you put in, the work I put in back at Sea Island, and putting myself in those positions. I love being in that spot. I love being in the hunt of a golf tournament, and to come down the stretch and actually pull it off is an unbelievable feeling.”
Dustin Johnson (2020): “Well, to me I thought the wind, well, yesterday morning they didn’t have any breeze. Today we had, I mean, I was just talking to Jordan, and other than 16, every single shot we hit was into the wind. I mean, we didn’t get one hole downwind. I don’t know how you can go around this golf course and do that other than 16, which worked in our favour. All three of us made birdies there. But yeah, I thought the wind was tricky today. It was hard to get a beat on it, and it wasn’t blowing one or two miles an hour, it was enough to where it would affect the golf ball enough. That’s why I think it played tougher this morning.”
“Yeah, I mean, probably obviously the way I hit my irons today was, finally I felt like I had a lot of control of my distance and the shot shapes. I hit a lot of great shots, you have to shoot a 61. I think that was probably the biggest key. But probably the most important part of the round would have been No. 11, where I made that really good bunker save because I put myself in just an awful spot with a wedge.”
“On 9, I’ve been hitting hybrid off the tee, and today I hit hybrid and a pitching wedge to about two inches, and then yesterday I did the same thing, hybrid and a pitching wedge to about five feet and made it. I just want to hit it off the fairway, especially around here, because the rough is pretty thick. It’s hard to control the golf ball. The greens are fast and kind of firm. For me, it doesn’t really matter what distance I’m playing from, as long as I’m in the fairway.”
Chez Reavie (2019): “ I mean, I hit the ball a little closer on the back than I did on the front, but I hit a lot of great shots on the front, too. I would say the front was a little tougher for me. Some of the holes are real long and playing into the wind today. I was hitting 5-wood. Like at 4 and 5 I hit 5-wood at both of those holes and hit good shots. So I just got some more scoreable clubs on the back nine in my hands. I have shot 28 before on nine holes, but not on tour, I don’t believe. I’ve done it at home.”
“Yeah, the golf course is great. You can shape it both ways off the tee; hit every club in your bag from longer irons to short irons. It’s just a test of all your shots. That’s something I like. I’m a shot maker. I like to work it both ways. Fortunately I don’t have to hit hybrid like I did at Bethpage. I’ve always loved the layout since the first time I came here. Just the way the holes are shaped you can shape shots and think around the greens. It’s a great challenge and something I really enjoy”.
“Biggest shot for me down the stretch? When I stepped up to 17 tee, which that is the toughest visual shot for me on the golf course because I like to hit a draw. With that water off to the left it kind of doesn’t suit me, so I just tried to aim at the bunkers and let the wind blow it into the fairway. Knocked it on the green and I was very comfortable, and when I made the putt it kind of sealed the deal for me.”
Bubba Watson (2018): “Earlier this year I had won in L.A. for my third win in L.A. Now I just need one more in Augusta and that would be great. Get a different jacket. I like this jacket, don’t get me wrong. I love this. I’ve got a few of them. But, yeah, there are certain places that we’ve built our schedule, everybody builds their schedule around places they’ve seen, loved, the atmosphere, all of that comes into play. Around here there are a lot of driver holes where I can hit some drivers and shape it. There are a lot of guys, a lot of guys that are starting to come. Jordan came last year when he won, and he said, “Bubba, anywhere you play good that’s where I want to play, because I think I can play where you can play.” I don’t know if that was a dig or what, but he backed it up with a win. Yeah, it’s one of those things where it just fits our eye. You can see the fairway. You can see the shape of the holes and the greens are always in great shape, so it’s fun.”
Jordan Spieth (2017): “Yeah, I had no idea until we kind of got on the grounds and I saw Michael (Greller) on Tuesday before we played any holes, and he said, “This course is tailor made for you,” is what he said. I love the back nine. I think it’s a very exciting nine holes of golf, one of the coolest stretches that we play where anything can happen. So that’s good and bad when you’re leading. So again, yeah, I thought it was a really good golf course for us. You kind of manoeuvre the ball both ways. You’ve kind of got to watch out for – you’ve got some clearings where the wind affects it more than other times where you’re kind of in the valleys. But overall, poa annua greens, historically, aren’t my best, and so today was a big confidence boost. The rest of the golf course I really love. You’ve got to work both ball flights. You’ve got to kind of be fearless in playing different shots. You really have to. You can’t get out there and just step and hit just draws the whole day. It forces you to hit different shots. The greens are just tough.
Yeah, you’ve got to stay patient. You can’t force it here. You get so many opportunities, you feel like you’re losing to the field if you don’t birdie with a wedge in your hand. But they put these pins in such difficult locations it’s hard to feed it next to it, once you do, it’s difficult to get the right line on the green. So recognizing that the course is 6800 yards for a reason. It’s tricked out elsewhere. And being very patient on the weekend is key. I always mention that, that’s always the word. I try to tell myself that, and sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t. Given here especially, given that we’re going to have a lot of chances, greens in regulations is going to be an important stat.”
Russell Knox (2016): “The scores here – I always think this course, if you tee off in the morning, the conditions, you can always shoot a mega low score. That’s what Jim Furyk did last year on Sunday. But as the day goes on, teeing off in the afternoon, especially on a weekend, shooting under par is a great score if you tee off at 1, 2 o’clock. So the course changes significantly as the day goes on, just the firmness of the greens. I think players like that. But every hole, I don’t really feel uncomfortable on. I mean, you don’t have to overpower this course. I remember watching the year before. I think Bubba Watson and Corey Pavin were in a playoff with Scott Verplank maybe too. And I remember thinking what an amazing course this must be that the shortest hitter and longest hitter in the field are in the playoff. So this course, I think, allows everyone in the field to win, and I think that shows what a great course this is.”
Paul Casey: “This is a golf course where the green is relatively small, but they’re tucking the pins away and putting them on some funky little slopes. If you short side yourself, especially if you get over these greens, you’re going to be in a world of hurt. I’m a guy that hits a lot of greens in regulation. I’m pretty aggressive when going with the irons into the greens. I try to give myself a lot of birdie looks. To me, as a player, I love playing these kinds of events where you can go low. I think it’s good for the psyche. If all you ever do is play events where level par is winning score, you feel like you get beaten up, and you’ve got to have these, because every now and then you’ve got to go really low. It is fun. You can’t get the wrong side of it. With a golf course like this, it’s not that easy. I think the scores are reflective in the fact that we’ve got perfect conditions and perfect greens. If you get to the wrong side of it, you can make bogeys very easily out there.”
Bubba Watson: “First hole is going to be a wedge; second hole, wedge; third hole, wedge. These are the approach shots. And then next hole is going to be…it’ll change, but 8, 9 or wedge; next hole is a 6 iron to a 5 iron; next hole is a 3 iron, going for it in two; next hole is a wedge; next hole is an 8 iron; next hole is a wedge; next hole is a wedge; next hole is a wedge; next hole is a wedge; next hole is going for it in two; next hole is a wedge; next hole is a wedge, or if you drive the green you can putt; next hole is a 9 or an 8; 17 is a 9 or a wedge; and 18 is a wedge. So when you look at that, why would I not want to play here if I’m hitting that many wedges? It doesn’t matter if I’m in the rough or not, those are the clubs I’m hitting. It comes down to me putting; if I can putt halfway decent, I have a chance to top 10 here or scare a victory.”
Incoming Form of Travelers Championship winners since 2010:
First Round Leader Analysis: First round leader(s), their wave and winning score since 2010. Full First Round Leader stats are here.
For the record, here’s the breakdown of pure Poa Annua and Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix PGA Tour victors in the field since 2008:
From a correlating course perspective, there’s undoubtedly a form link between TPC River Highlands and a number of other parkland golf courses. The course here features Bentgrass with Poa Annua mixed green surfaces, and as we know the latter is a problem for many players. So a look at west coast courses which feature Poa Annua isn’t a bad angle in my view, namely Torrey Pines, Pebble Beach and Riviera Country Club.
A look at Dustin Johnson’s west coast resume tells you all you need to know. A 2-time winner at Pebble Beach (2009, 2010) a winner at Riviera Country Club (2017) amongst 10 top 10 finishes, DJ also has a 3rd place at Torrey Pines (2011) to his name and is a 2-time winner (2013 & 2018) on the rolling Bermudagrass green course at Kapalua.
Johnson may not be the best example so let’s take Xander Schauffele. A winner at Kapalua (2019), with supporting runner-up (2020) and 5th (2021) on the Plantation Course, Xander has also finished runner-up and 3rd at TPC Scottsdale (2021 & 2022). From a Poa Annua perspective, 2nd (2021 Farmers Insurance Open) and 7th (2021 U.S. Open) at Torrey Pines, Schauffele also finished 3rd at the Pebble Beach-hosted 2019 U.S. Open and was 4th (2024) at Riviera Country Club.
How about defending champion Keegan Bradley? 2nd (2023), 4th (2017) and 5th (2018) at Torrey Pines, Keegan has also finished 2nd (2012) and 4th (2015) at Riviera Country Club. 4th at Kapalua (2013) forms a similar, if not quite as successful west coast footprint to Johnson and Schauffele.
Harris English – 2021 Travelers champion – is a winner at Kapalua (2021) and with a 3rd (2015), 4th (2014) and 9th (2013) at Waialae he’s also played well on the Bermuda segment of the west coast swing. However even the Georgia-based player has a decent west coast Poa resume. 10th (2014) at Riviera, Harris had finished 2nd (2015) and 8th (2018) at Torrey Pines, before finishing 3rd at the Torrey Pines hosted 2021 U.S. Open. That was his best ever Major finish and by the following Sunday he had won the Travelers Championship.
2019 champion Chez Reavie won this straight off of finishing 3rd at Pebble Beach-hosted U.S. Open the week before. He had also finished 2nd at the 2018 AT&T Pro-Am at the classical Pebble and finished 7th (2016) and 10th (2020) at Riviera Country Club.
3-time Travelers winner Bubba Watson has a great west coast Poa Annua CV. 4th (2007), 1st (2011) and 6th (2020) at Torrey Pines is supported by 3 wins (2014, 2018 and 2018) at Riviera. 2017 Travelers winner Jordan Spieth follows the Reavie-mould with 4th (2014), 7th (2015), 1st (2017), 9th (2020) and 3rd (2021) at the AT&T National Pebble tournament. He’s also been a feature at Riviera finishing 12th (2014), 4th (2015) and 9th (2018). 2014 champion here at TPC River Highlands, Kevin Streelman, is a real Pebble Beach specialist chalking up 4 top 9 finishes on the Monterey coast. 9th (2012), 6th (2018), 7th (2019) and 2nd (2020), highlights a player who copes admirably on a short course with Poa Annua greens.
And 2012 Travelers champion Marc Leishman has finished 2nd (2010), 9th (2011), 2nd (2014), 8th (2018) and 1st (2020) at Torrey Pines, with 5th (2016) and 4th (2019) at Riviera.
So what is the key to TPC River Highlands? Well high quality birdie making powered by top-notch Strokes Gained on Approach is the winning formula here in Hartford, Connecticut. All 13 Travelers winners sat in the top 17 for Putting Average (Putts per GIR) across the week with a sub-1.7 Putts per GIR looking an essential target for victory, but that doesn’t necessarily translate to a strong Strokes Gained Putting performance. So we aren’t necessarily talking about whoever holes the highest distance of putts winning this week. Instead 7 of the last 8 winners all have ranked in the top 18 for Strokes Gained on Approach and all have been in the top 8 for Strokes Gained Tee to Green.
Collin Morikawa 3pts EW 14/1 (8EW, 1/5) with bet365
The PGA Tour season and these Signature events specifically have shown real trends when it comes to winning price. Scheffler has won 4 of the last 5 Signature events as favourite at 13/2, 11/2, 9/2 and 15/4. The non-Scottie Scheffler win was the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow which again saw the favourite, Rory McIlroy, win at 17/2. Prior to that Kirk (150/1), Clark (70/1) and Matsuyama (80/1) won. That big ticket price philosophy has also been prevalent across 2024 with no PGA Tour winners between 20/1 and 50/1 to this point. Bryson DeChambeau was 20/1 with a couple of bookmakers last week at the US Open.
The big 3 in the golf betting market has now become a big 2 with Rory McIlroy’s Monday WD. So now only Scheffler and Schauffele sit atop the Travelers Championship betting at single digits. Clearly you could build a case for either of these 2 quite easily, but I’m drawn to the players directly below them in the market, the first of whom is Collin Morikawa.
You know how it is. You back a player for a number of events and then get Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) syndrome. 2nd when we were on-board at the Memorial Tournament a fortnight ago, Collin was there or thereabouts last week at Pinehurst Number 2, but a couple of par-3 double bogeys on Thursday morning pretty much did for his chances early doors. You don’t tend to catch up at the U.S. Open and I think in retrospect last week’s course had a few too many +200 yard approach shots for Morikawa’s liking. That won’t be the case though this week at a 6,835 yard, Par 70.
Incoming form of 4th at Valhalla, (4th Tee to Green), 4th at Colonial (2nd Tee to Green), 2nd at Muirfield Village (3rd Tee to Green) and 12th at Pinehurst (21st Tee to Green) is great, and I love the way Collin’s putter has warmed substantially ranking 11th and 15th for Strokes Gained Putting over the last 2 outings. You need to make plenty of birdies this week, so confidence in holing putts will be critical.
With the first 3 of his 6 PGA Tour wins having come on Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix putting surfaces, the Californian should like the greens here at TPC River Highlands, and there’s further hope that Morikawa will get on well at the Travelers Championship this week as he was 6th here after 36 holes, way back in 2019, in only his 3rd professional start.
2nd (2023) amongst 5 top-10s at Kapalua, 3rd (2023) at Torrey Pines and 2nd (2022) plus 6th (2023) at Riviera Country Club, Collin has the west coast form lines I’m looking for from recent winners here including Bradley, Schauffele, English and Dustin Johnson. RESULT: T13
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Hideki Matsuyama 2pts EW 25/1 (8EW, 1/5) with Boylesports
I also think that Hideki Matsuyama is primed for his 10th PGA Tour title. A player who has always gone well on tree-lined golf courses, he’s also the sort who goes well on shorter formats. Yes he’s won around monster-length courses such as Muirfield Village, Firestone and naturally Augusta National, but his last 3 wins have come on non Par 72 set-ups across Waialae Country Club (short, 7,044 yard, Par 70), Narashino Country Club (short, 7,079 yard Par 70) and Riviera Country Club (medium, 7322 yard, Par 71). It’s also worth noting that he’s a 2-time Poa Annua green winner with his 2017 Firestone Country Club – World Golf Championship victory coming before this year’s Genesis Invitational win at Hogan’s Alley.
2024 has been great for the Japanese Number 1 as he’s finished in the top 12 across 6 of his last 8 appearances which includes 6th at TPC Sawgrass, 8th at Muirfield Village and 6th at Pinehurst Number 2 last week. Strong with his iron-play from 100-150 yards, Hideki should get on very nicely with TPC River Highlands and after 13th here last year on tournament debut he now has course experience.
In the top 6 across my 8-week Strokes Gained trackers for Tee to Green and Current Form, Matsuyama also sits in the top 14 for Putting – a rare occurrence and one to take advantage of as he remains confident with the putter. Ranked 10th for Strokes Gained on Approach and 11th for Tee to Green here 12 months ago, when T6 for final 54 hole scoring tied with Keegan Bradley and Zac Blair who finished 1-2. RESULT: T23
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Tom Kim 1pt EW 50/1 (8EW, 1/5) with bet365
Tom Kim has sparked into life across the last few weeks. 4th at the RBC Canadian Open – the last time we saw a short Par 70 featuring Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix greens – 43rd at The Memorial Tournament and 26th at the U.S. Open (9th after 54 holes – he went off in the 6th-last Sunday group) were ultimately on tracks which are way too long for the World Number 26.
TPC River Highlands should undoubtedly be more his cup of tea and he finished 38th here on course debut 12 months ago, shooting 64 (Friday) and 65 (Sunday), which were both within the daily top 10 scores each day.
It’s worth remembering that Kim has already won 3 times on the PGA Tour. His phenomenal victories at the 2022 Wyndham Championship and 2022 & 2023 Shriners Children’s Open highlight the South Korean’s amazing ability to shoot low scores on short course formats.
10th for Strokes Gained on Approach at Pinehurst Number 2, Tom’s Approach play has been excellent over the last 3 outings. We just need a week where the putter ignites.RESULT: 2nd, Lost Playoff
✅ Bet £10 get £50 in free bets for new customers
✅ Bonus code SPORT50 can be used, but does not change the offer amount in any way
✅ For further details read our bet365 new customer offer page
✅ Early odds available each week on the PGA Tour and DP World Tour
✅ ‘Each Way Extra’ promotion where you can choose between 3, 8, 10 or 12 places each way
bet365 New Customer Offer: New Customers only. Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you five times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply. Registration required. The bonus code SPORT50 can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. #Ad
Matthieu Pavon 1pt EW 90/1 (8EW, 1/5) with bet365
Matthieu Pavon ranks 20th in the World Rankings and 11th in the FedEx Cup Standings. He went out in the Final Group of the U.S. Open last week and we find him down in the depths of the betting market. I’ll definitely take a piece of that!
On a course where west coast, especially California, Poa Annua-greened form seems a prerequisite when you look at Travellers winners, Pavon shines like a beacon from the betting mid-pack. His rise has been truly astronomic. The winner last October of the Open de Espana played at Club de Campo Villa de Madrid – a 7,112 yard Par 71 featuring Bentgrass/Poa Annua mix greens at -23/261, Matthieu went on to finish 9th at the Andalucía Masters, 15th at the Nedbank Challenge and 5th at the DP World Tour Championship, gaining a spot on this year’s PGA Tour.
His explosion on the Tour this year as a rookie has been amazing. 7th at the Sony Open in Hawaii, he went on to win the Farmers Insurance Open on his first ever visit to Torrey Pines. In winning he joined Jon Rahm being the only players since 1957 to win on course debut at the U.S. Open venue. From there only a week later he finished 3rd at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am – a Signature-level event. Since then 12th at The Masters on course debut and 5th at last week’s U.S. Open highlight a player who can get up to speed quickly at the best courses in the United States, in the very best fields.
12th for Approach, 16th for Tee to Green and 5th for Putting from a Strokes Gained perspective last week, Matthieu will want to keep his form pedal to the metal as we’re within 2 months of the Olympic Men’s Golf Competition at Le Golf National, near Paris. RESULT: T16
✅ Bet £10 get £50 in free bets for new customers
✅ Bonus code SPORT50 can be used, but does not change the offer amount in any way
✅ For further details read our bet365 new customer offer page
✅ Early odds available each week on the PGA Tour and DP World Tour
✅ ‘Each Way Extra’ promotion where you can choose between 3, 8, 10 or 12 places each way
bet365 New Customer Offer: New Customers only. Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you five times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply. Registration required. The bonus code SPORT50 can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. #Ad
Odds and bookmaker offers correct at 14:05BST 17.6.24 but are naturally subject to fluctuation.